Tank Watch -- It's Crunch Time!

Discussion in 'Lakers Discussion' started by karacha, Feb 27, 2015.

  1. Savory Griddles

    Savory Griddles Moderator Staff Member

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    But even pride...What's a greater kick to Pride's nuts: having a 17 win instead of a 22 win team, or being canned from your dream job after 2 years? I don't remember Randy Pfund's record as Lakers coach, but I remember he got fired.
     
  2. Punk-101

    Punk-101 - Lakers Starter -

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    Cool site. I played 10 lotteries for each position we may end up, 3,4,5. Here's how they panned out:
    3rd: 4,5,1,5,5,4,5,4,2,4
    4th: 4,5,5,3,5,7,6,3,1,2
    5th: 2,7,6,3,6,6,3,6,5,1

    Man, that 6,7 from the 4th position made my stomach churn. Lot's of 4's and 5's from the 3rd spot, which is a total bummer, but at least we don't lose the pick.
     
  3. davriver209

    davriver209 - Rookie -

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    I did the sim ten times. Got the 6th pick twice during those sims. I don't like those odds. We need to at least go below minny. At the very least then, I'll feel more comfortable.
     
  4. alam1108

    alam1108 - Lakers Legend -

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    I'd only feel comfortable with the worst or second worst record. Anything outside of that still leaves me nervous, especially knowing our luck the past couple seasons.
     
  5. lakerjones

    lakerjones Moderator Staff Member

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    Very cool site.
     
  6. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    I ran my own experiment. We ended with:
    1, 6, 5, 3, 2, 2, 2, 5, 2, 1
    6, 5, 6, 1, 2, 5, 1, 1, 5, 6
    3, 4, 1, 7, 5, 1, 6, 3, 1, 5

    So I ran it 30 times. Here's the odds at the #4 spot for us again for reference: 11.9%, 12.6%, 13.3%, 9.9%, 35.1%, 16%, 1.2% (1-7 respectively). According to the sample:

    #1- 27%
    #2- 17%
    #3- 10%
    #4- 4%
    #5- 24%
    #6- 17%
    #7- 4%

    So maybe the system isn't that accurate? Or maybe after another 50 it could even out... HOWEVER! Our odds DO stay at about 82% chance that we keep the pick.
     
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  7. ElginTheGreat

    ElginTheGreat - Lakers MVP -

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    Interesting. I just ran the sim a few times myself. Interesting that we never got the 4th pick. Mine was
    5, 2, 3, 1, 3, 5, 3, 3, 2, 6, 2, 5, 5, 1
     
  8. unpossibl1

    unpossibl1 - Rookie -

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    ORL tanking hard, have Vucevic, Green, Ridnour, and Fournier out for a winnable game against SAC. Not taking any chances, apparently.
     
  9. johnnyboy

    johnnyboy - Lakers 6th Man -

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    They get it. We don't
     
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  10. karacha

    karacha Moderator Staff Member

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    Fortunately for us, we'll lose against MEM. for sure. Philly might even win today against Utah. Who knows?
     
  11. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    ^Currently on Philly-Utah playing and Orlando-Sac
     
  12. ninjagorn

    ninjagorn - Rookie -

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    They worry me the most. I had us at 19 wins pre 3 game winning streak, now its 21 -1+2 wins so if you look at the standings Orlando is a danger snd Sacramento Quenss if they loose out..
     
  13. karacha

    karacha Moderator Staff Member

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    Interestingly enough, both Philly and Orlando are winning right now. ORL up by 10.
     
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  14. unpossibl1

    unpossibl1 - Rookie -

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    Just wait. Their coaches know they need to lose, they will make it happen.
     
  15. abeer3

    abeer3 - Lakers Legend -

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    have I told you guys how much of a magic fan I am? GO MAGIC GO!
     
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  16. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    Magic win but the Lakers putting up a real fight against the Grizzlies... Oh boy.

    Jazz, Boston, and Pacers winning for whatever that's worth. Denver putting up a big fight against the Spurs as well.
     
  17. karacha

    karacha Moderator Staff Member

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    Great job today. We got some breathing room now. Too bad Minny and NY will almost certainly lose tomorrow.
     
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  18. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    Thought we were gonna win?


    [​IMG]
     
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  19. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    Byron with the sneaky tank back on.

    Sitting Clarkson right when he's heating up, eh? I see you Byron. I see you.
     
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  20. unpossibl1

    unpossibl1 - Rookie -

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    Great day for the tank! Wish we wouldn't make these games so damn close, but a loss is a loss. We really need MIN to start winning but I'm not sure if it's going to happen with how brutal their schedule is.

    I'm predicting it comes down to the final 2 games of the season against SAC, which could be really bad with so many Lakers fighting for new contracts.
     
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