So..Jordan Clarkson, good contract? Bad contract? My eye test and the market for comparable players tell me very good contract. Sorry, I failed math in high school.
I think the new salary cap is going to skew all of the numbers for a couple of years. I suppose you could use a multiplier to factor the old cap versus the new, yikes.
all secondary analyses of these data require faith in the numbers themselves. i don't have the latter (the context-based volatility in many of these stats is terrifying from a reliability standpoint), but it's an interesting exercise nonetheless.
This is sort of the point. Someone posted some complex data that allegedly showed that JC's contract was the worst among players making $10m+. I find that unlikely and unreasonable. So I started tossing out different metrics. I'm not sure there's one best metric. Like I said: no one who's picking up Noah for four seasons is getting him to do what Whiteside is getting paid to do.
Added in some max players: DeRozan (who looks good), Conley (who mostly doesn't), and Horford (who's mostly in-between).
His $/(pt/ast/reb) is very low, but his other measures are astronomically bad. Even worse than his buddy Nick Young.
The fact that only a percentage of all NBA players have resigned contracts in '16 and can take advantage of the "new" NBA money is going to create wild disparities.
I agree. He is today paid less (12.5 million) than the following: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (13 million) Tyson Chandler (13 million) Jamal Crawford (13.2 million)* Ricky Rubio (13.2 million) Rajon Rondo (14 million)* Manu Ginobili (14 million)* DeMarre Carroll (14 million) Thaddeus Young (14.1 million) Jonas Valanciunas (14.3 million) Khris Middleton (15 million) Jeff Green (15 million)* Danilo Gallinari (15.5 million) Kent Bazemore (15.7 million)* Goran Dragic (15.8 million) Ian Mahinmi (15.9 million)* Timofey Mozgov (16 million)* Evan Turner (16.4 million)* Joakim Noah (17 million)* Evan Fournier (17 million)* Bismack Biyombo (17 million)* Wesley Matthews (17.1 million) Greg Monroe (17.1 million) Enes Kanter (17.1 million) Tobias Harris (17.2 million) Luol Deng (18 million)* Allen Crabbe (18.5 million)* Ryan Anderson (18.7 million)* Derrick Rose (21 million) Chandler Parsons (22 million)* *signed this year I think, based on no statistical evidence whatsoever, that Clarkson is either a better basketball player or better value at his price than all of those players.
I think it was referring to "new" contracts, but yeah, no doubt he will outperform the value of many/most on the last. I'm looking for a great year from him, and think he's ready to spread his wings in a way he could not with Byron/Kobe around.
Ran all the rest of the Lakers' numbers: Gross Value (Low is Good) Huertas 1.77 Randle 2.27 Nance 2.98 Brown 4.41 Russell 4.64 Williams 5.13 Calderon 7.18 Clarkson 7.23 Young 10.71 Deng 12.05 Mozgov 18.93 Black 20.92 --I think the limitations and strengths of this measure are clear. If you can stand to put a veteran minimum player or rookie-controlled salary player on the court, you're going to have massive value in terms of gross output. Alas, the question is whether this output is good relative to the competition - and clearly it's not - with Huertas and Brown near the top of the list. V Value (High is good) Williams .157 Calderon .130 Deng .128 Nance .095 Clarkson .032 Mozgov .019 Russell .014 Black -.031 Young -.125 Randle -.209 Brown -.556 Huertas -1.000 --This one takes account of both offense and defense, and I think it's sensitive to team performance (but I'm not sure on that). The top three spots are vets. I guess that's not surprising. The bottom three are rookies (and "rookies"). I guess that's not surprising. I might be leaning more and more toward this being the best representation of value added to the team's performance, but I can't shake the thought that both Williams and Calderon are awful defenders. PER Value (High is good) Williams 12.49 Clarkson 11.91 Deng 1.66 Mozgov -5.53 Randle -5.54 Black -6.62 Brown -9.7 Calderon -29.6 Russell -32.4 Young -34.2 Nance -38.9 Huertas -82.5 -This is just straight up man vs. man performance. Lou outperforms his counterpart. So does JC. Deng does, too, and then we start looking at a deep chasm. Mozgov, Randle, and Black - three bigs - are net negatives over the course of the season on this measure, but it's manageable and could be disguised. After that, it's tough. Nance's numbers shouldn't surprise; he won't outplay his counterpart in boxscore impact. He's a team player who makes those around him better. It's why his number was so much higher on the other measure.
