2014/15 Lakers Stat Projections (and Predictions)

Discussion in 'Lakers Discussion' started by trodgers, Oct 25, 2014.

  1. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    I'm working on Stat Projections. So far I've done only Lin's and Price's numbers.
    I'll put a star by the stat that I think is most likely to have a significant variation.

    Jeremy Lin
    75 games, 2288 minutes, 13.0 points, 5.0 assists*, 2.8 rebounds, 30.5 minutes

    Ronnie Price
    59 games, 761 minutes, 2.8 points, 2.1 assists, 1.3 rebounds, 12.9 minutes*
     
  2. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    Kobe Bryant
    61 games, 2032 minutes, 23.2 points, 4.5 assists, 4.3 rebounds, 33.3 minutes
     
  3. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    Boozer
    80 games, 29.8 MPG
    14.8 points, 1.9 assists, 8.4 rebounds

    Hill
    61 games, 24.0 MPG
    10.7 points, 0.7 assists, 8.3 rebounds
     
  4. lakerfan2

    lakerfan2 - Lakers All Star -

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    I definitely think Lin will have at least 7apg.
     
  5. karacha

    karacha Moderator Staff Member

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    I love these projections! PPG seems a bit low for Price, who is supposed to be our first PG off the bench, but we'll see. I think he could be close to 4 PPG, but the rest looks great.
     
  6. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    His preseason numbers project to about 7.4 I think, but I don't want to be too hasty. His career rates are more in line with the 5 per game, but I put the asterisk by it precisely because I think it could be above 6.

    As for Price, I don't know. If his MPG increase, then his other stats should increase correspondingly.

    I didn't mention this, but I had to fudge Hill's MPG. I have no idea how many he'll play, and when a player goes for a career high in mpg projecting the stats becomes difficult.
     
  7. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    I'll work on Randle quick; then I'm watching some scary movies and drinking brew while my daughter carves a pumpkin.
     
  8. lakerfan2

    lakerfan2 - Lakers All Star -

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    The year he actually was healthy, played 32 mpg, and before Dwight came, he had 6apg.

    I think with Lin getting starter minutes, something that he hasn't really had consistently, and him being a second option on offense running the pick and roll, will give him that extra 1-2 apg. Guys like Hill, Davis, Boozer, and even Kobe being excellent finishers will certainly help.
     
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  9. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    I'd initially put Randle's numbers at 9/6, but after seeing him in preseason, they're bumped:

    Randle
    68 games, 24.0 MPG, 9.7 Points, 1.25 assists, 7.15 rebounds
     
  10. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    I'm hoping :) and that's why the star is there!
     
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