2015 Nba Draft Discussion: Russell, Nance Jr., Brown

Discussion in 'Lakers Discussion' started by LaVarBallsDad, Oct 14, 2014.

  1. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    I'm surprised somebody brought up the post this late in the discussion. I thought it was going to be after game 2. Lee did help them immensely, though. The post is still very effective. It just depends how you go about using it to your advantage. There are a couple of different ways to generate very good post-up opportunities. We look no further than Pop who has integrated a modern offense and still utilized Timmy in the post area.
     
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  2. Battle Tested20

    Battle Tested20 Moderator Staff Member

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    I noticed this many times as well but mainly from the perspective of for the Warriors if they aren't out and running it can be hard for them to score. factor in Curry really struggling besides that 4th quarter that Warriors team can have a hell of a time getting easy buckets. Okafor or whoever will help settle the game down and create easier scoring opportunities.
     
  3. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    Randle has a post-game, too. :)
     
  4. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    Not to the extent of Okafor, but it's effective.
     
  5. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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  6. tada

    tada - Lakers All Star -

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    So much for the 'modern' game :think:

    'Traditional big men aren't as valuable as they once were.' Yeah right.
     
  7. Aonex

    Aonex - Rookie -

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    Phil Jackson must be laughing his a** off right now.
     
  8. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    Pop has done the best job of anybody integrating modern principles while still utilizing Tim in the post. The difference is they just don't go down the court, throw it into the teeth of a defense, and expect to get a shot. The way they used it last year against the Heat in the Finals and in other instances was has a secondary action. You have to be more creative designing sets. Nevertheless with Randle and Okafor, we have two legit face-up back to the basket centers that we can utilize in various ways...
     
  9. tada

    tada - Lakers All Star -

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    I just feel they play the right way. When did the NBA's offense advance so rapidly beyond our understanding? Modern principles may get you regular season wins but when things get tough, you get beat by a Lebron-usage-rate-42% offense.

    Last time I checked, the Lakers and Spurs have reached the Finals 13 out of 15 times since the new millenium, which means a dominant post presence is still essential in the playoffs, unless you have Lebron who can single-handily take over.
     
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  10. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    Who said NBA offenses advanced so rapidly beyond our understanding? It hasn't. I wouldn't even say you have to have a dominant post presence. It just has to be efficient. Although, a dominant post presence is very nice to have, but I don't think necessary.
     
  11. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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  12. tada

    tada - Lakers All Star -

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    Didn't mean to attack you in any way, but I'm so sick of the media overhyping trends like 'stretch 4s' and 'perimeter-dominated league' which are both false.

    The only time a team with a stretch 4 (as their best player) won a chip (in the history of our league) is in 2011 with Dirk. And the only times perimeter-oriented offenses won a chip were when the teams were led by GOAT players with HOF sidekicks like Jordan/Pippen and Lebron/Wade/Bosh. So in those rare cases, supreme talent (Dirk's performance was ridiculous that year) won championships.

    History has proven, since 1991, that there's really only 2 ways to win a chip. Get a dominant big (Hakeem, Shaq, Duncan, KG, Pau+Bynum) or get a GOAT-level talent (MJ, Kobe, Lebron) and build around them. Only exception is the 2004 Piston team.

    I don't see how anyone can argue against that. Even excluding the 2004 Pistons and 2011 Mavs teams, this obvious formula holds 91.6% true since 1991.
     
    Last edited: Jun 10, 2015
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  13. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    I'm not arguing. I want an established post presence. I welcome Okafor with open arms and his post game. I don't think we need a 'dominant' post big though to win a rings in today's league.

    I actually think you can make a great argument for an Okafor/Randle combination under the premise that this is the next step in basketball's evolution. There is no inherent advantage to "going small." What's you're trying to do is increase the foot speed and skill level of your team. An underrated part of Okafor's game is his ability to handle the ball and drive to the basket from the perimeter. Randle already has this in spades. Offensively, you're getting most of the benefit of actually going small, without losing size. If one of them (probably Randle) can become an adequate shooter, we'd be in business. They both have some Lamar Odom in their game.

    IMO, that's the way you exploit this style of play, in terms of personnel. With bigs that possess ball handling skills and speed/agility. Otherwise you end up like Memphis, unable to exploit Draymond Green defending Marc Gasol & Harrison Barnes defending Zach Randolph.

    By the way, Pop is actually one of the best arguments against slow it down and post up. He admits that's what he prefers, and admits he hates space and pace ball. But he also says he does it because that's how you win in the current rules environment. Pop admits his bias, and then chucks it for something the empirical evidence tells him is the right thing to do.

    I'm not against post-play. I don't meant to come across that way.
     
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  14. thkthebest

    thkthebest Administrator Staff Member

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    What exactly is your definition of a stretch big?

    13-14: Bosh is a stretch 4/5. Diaw can handle the ball and hit the occasional outside shot. In the playoffs, Diaw hit 40% of his 3s.
    12-13: Same story as above except the Heat had either LeBron or Battier playing the 4 for a good chunk of the games too.
    11-12: Once again Bosh was a big part of their run. Then there is Ibaka, who shoots a lot of midrange jumpers.
    10-11: Dirk.
    08-10: Both years, Odom was a huge part of our run. He's not a great shooter by any means, but his ability to handle the ball and bring opposing bigs out to the perimeter was huge. He hit over 50% from 3pt territory in the 08-09 run. Pau Gasol was also capable of hitting the midrange jumper. He hit almost 50% of his midrange jumpers in 09! On the flip side, Magic had Rashard Lewis and C Bags had KG.

    Even in the 3peat days, we had Robert Horry, who was a stretch 4. Is having a big that can stretch the floor necessary? No, but is it helpful? Definitely because bringing a paint protector outside the paint is very valuable.
     
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  15. tada

    tada - Lakers All Star -

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    Great post, I agree with everything you said.

    With the Kobe era ending, we are in a ridiculously lucky position of drafting Okafor who can put us right back into the 91.6% winning formula. The way I see it, Okafor and Anthony Davis are the centerpieces that no other team possesses.
     
  16. tada

    tada - Lakers All Star -

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    I don't disagree. Stretch 4's are valuable. I'm just saying they are overvalued. Except for Dirk, all the players you listed are 3rd best or worse players on their respective teams. In other words, an offense led by a stretch 4 needs a prolific shooter like a 2011 Dirk to win a title. Also, don't forget that you lose a valuable offensive rebounder with your stretch 4 roaming out in the perimeter.

    Even in this year's draft you see the trends getting overblown by the media.

    Misconception #1 Towns' offense is somehow equal to Okafor because of his ability to stretch the floor.

    As I mentioned, stretch 4's are most valuable as role players; not your franchise player, and definitely not your best rebounder. Please don't get me started on this.

    Misconception #2 Russell may be considered a better prospect than the 2 bigs because of the way 'today's game' is played.

    How is Russell's ceiling faring in the Finals with 'today's game'?
     
    Last edited: Jun 10, 2015
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  17. thkthebest

    thkthebest Administrator Staff Member

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    Oh okay. I see what you mean.
     
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  18. KareemtheGreat33

    KareemtheGreat33 - Lakers MVP -

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    I pity the Wolves, having no one to go to Minny to work out. Everybody who is anybody is in LA.
     
  19. CarolinaLakerFan

    CarolinaLakerFan - Lakers 6th Man -

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    :D
    It must be a bad feeling knowing that both Towns and Okafor really don't want to play for you lol
     
  20. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    This has more or less been my feeling all along. I don't dislike Russell and I think he'll have a nice NBA career, but even if he ends up being Steph Curry I'm not in love with what that implies. Yes I know Steph is incredibly talented and no I won't hold his struggles against Russell per se, but his smaller frame is really getting pushed around by some random guy.

    The same will be true for Towns at first in the NBA until he puts some meat on his bones. All that agility he shows in 1 vs. 0 workouts isn't going to amount to much in the NBA until he can bully his way to the rim. Not to mention his post game is heavily reliant on his ability to bully smaller players into the paint with his height and length. Okafor is the only one of the three prospects that I see capable of scoring right away in the NBA and still has a strong ceiling going forward.

    I always scoff at the "the game is different now" argument against big men. The game is different in part BECAUSE of the lack of skilled big men. If the Warriors had Marc Gasol instead of Bogut, don't you think that'd make all the difference in the world? It's silly. I don't NEED to take a guard just because guards are allowed to do more these days than ever before. I don't NEED to take Towns because skilled big men are "less important". I NEED to take the kid that will command the most attention cumulatively on both sides of the ball. To me that's Okafor, then Towns, then Russell edges out Mudiay.
     

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