2015 Nba Draft Discussion: Russell, Nance Jr., Brown

EDIT: I might've misread your tone.

I said above (maybe two pages back) that if people are sold on him, I'm down. I don't watch much NCAA basketball. That's full disclosure. Now look at what I wrote about him.

Are you going to dispute any of what I wrote? Shot a total of 39 threes, at 20.5%, in his college career.

1. Shot 69.7% on 356 career FTs. That seems like a pretty good measure of his shooting abilities, but I suppose we'll see when he starts playing.

2. 114 assists, 103 TOs in his career. 1:1 ast/to ratio as a sophomore. That's worse than four guys who played at least 300 minutes on his team. It's worse than the team ast/to ratio. It's also a very low assist rate. Three players playing at least 300 minutes had better ast rates (2.2 per 40 minutes was his). Only three players on his team with at least 300 minutes had a higher TO rate (2.2 per 40).

3. His PTS/FGA is quite good, but his eFG% was 9th best on his team. Counting players with at least 300 minutes played, six fared better than he did, while only one was worse (one tied him). In TS%, he was 7th. Counting only those with 300+ minutes, four were better while four were worse. Those numbers are not impressive.

4. Looking at Blocks + Steals per 40, RHJ totaled 2.8. That was second best on his team (I said it's what he does best). In the grand scheme of things, however, 2.8 per 40 isn't terribly impressive. Neither his steal rate nor block rate was top 10 in his conference. I didn't say that this was any indication of his value. In fact, I specifically said that he had better be an elite defender (which implies that he can be despite these numbers) because I can't see anything that he does well statistically.

Draft Express (via BB Breakdown) lists his strengths as physical tools, defense, and role player potential. *shrug* If I'm missing something, I don't know what it is.

He's mocked late first. Probably won't be.

 

My post still might sound too sensitive. If I misread your tone, I apologize. I initially read it like you were suggesting that I thought the numbers say more than they do. I think I have a pretty good grasp on what the numbers do and don't do.

 

haha I'm glad someone said this

 

this is what I would do as well if they were both right there for the taking.

 

Let's not get carried away though: "They all three have that hunger Kobe has"

There are only a hand full of players in the last couple of generations that have had the hunger and will that Kobe has.

 

well that's rude!!

 

Super pumped.

Don't blow huge $ on Rondo, Dragic. Sensible signings, draft intelligently, and we're immediately rebuilt.

 

Hopefully this is code for "We need to rig it one more year so I can make up to the Buss family the dirty that Darth Stern did them."

 

After my slumber

 

Justin Anderson
Anderson

FROSH
5.0 Scoring
2.9 Passing
3.2 Hustle
58 Positional Efficiency

SOPH
5.3 Scoring
2.4 Passing
2.6 Hustle
55 Positional Efficiency

JUNIOR
5.8 Scoring
2.4 Passing
2.4 Hustle
61 Positional Efficiency

I'll say one thing about him: His points per possession increased from 1.16 to 1.25 from his Frosh to Junior year despite a 15% increase in USG%. He's an intriguing late first round pick, but it would be awesome if he were available in the second round. Defense is his calling card, so that three-point shooting is gravy.