Official 2016 Free Agency Thread

Discussion in 'Lakers Discussion' started by LaVarBallsDad, Nov 16, 2015.

  1. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    Yeah I disagree :D

    I think money is almost always the first priority. That's why it's so rare when a guy leaves money on the table (remember everyone making a huge deal of David West this summer?). That being said, Durant stands to make more money in LA than not, just sayin'. I do agree that a 1+1 is something he'll consider, but he may also opt to just take the guaranteed money this summer as well considering his recen injury issues.

    As for Derozan: you're missing the essential point @RandleROFY made which is Derozan is having a career year in advanced statistics. No he's not shooting well outside, but his PER is at a career high (over 20), his TS% is nearly 55%, his 3Par and FTr are up, his AST%, and his OWS are both up and that's still with an enormous usage rate. I don't think he'll ever be a shooter, but if he came here he'd come with a lower usage rate and he'd come to build off this newfound efficiency. Besides, maybe with a lower usage rate and more help, he'll be able to develop more from outside.

    Fit is important. Talent is vastly, vastly more important. In this draft, I'm not going to pass on Ben Simmons just because he can't hit a jump shot.
     
  2. thkthebest

    thkthebest Administrator Staff Member

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    He's having a career year during his contract year though. I personally don't want him, and I'd expect him to regress next year.

    We do need talent, but like pop pop said, I don't want to be that desperate team that grossly overpays for the likes of Joe Johnson / Rashard Lewis while never winning anything.
     
  3. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    Hate to break it to you, but grossly overpaying will happen this summer whether it's us or not. Many experts expect guys like Ezeli and Ryan Anderson to get either the max or close to it.

    If we don't grossly overpay for some talent, we're not getting any.

    I'm through being picky and saying "oh we don't want ______ because despite being an All-Star he doesn't fit next to Julius Randle." I know there's a need to be discriminating, but eff that. I'm sick of 20 win seasons and Derozan can help us get away from that. He's not my first choice, but if we signed him I'd be ecstatic.
     
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  4. wcsoldier81

    wcsoldier81 - Lakers All Star -

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    You are totally correct on your first two sentences ... and tbh even if we disagree on Derozan I think attracting this level of talent doesn't seem realistic for us at this point .
     
  5. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    At this moment I agree, but a few key steps and we could right back in the mix. Fire Scott, let the kids start and keep making noise. For all our complaining the kids are doing really, really well relative to their peers (and in some cases relative to everyone). We just need a little momentum at the end of the season.

    Then we've got 2 max contracts to hand out so there's some more at play here than just "we stink". It just feels like "we stink" is all we have because it's where we live right now.
     
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  6. Punk-101

    Punk-101 - Lakers Starter -

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    I think we have a really good shot of landing one from each column:

    Column A: Durant, Barnes, Batum, Derozen
    Column B: Horford, Whiteside, Ezeli, (could Anderson play small ball center?), Jefferson, Zaza

    Can GSW afford to pay Ezeli and Barnes? If so, does Barnes want to be 4th fiddle for the next 5 years? I think we have a sneaky shot at landing Barnes (if not, then Batum) and Whiteside this summer.

    Russell/Vasquez
    Clarkson/Lou
    Barnes or Batum/Young/Brown
    Randle/Nance/Kelly
    Whiteside/Black/Upshaw

    That's a playoff team, for sure.
     
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  7. lakerjones

    lakerjones Moderator Staff Member

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    ^^ Agreed Punk. Barnes is the guy who I think GS will find expendable in their bunch. The fact that he was missing for two weeks of their winning streak really brought that home. They have a lot of mouths to feed to stay on top right now and guys like Ezeli are indispensable because Bogut is injury prone and isn't the most mobile guy.

    If we could get Barnes and Whiteside I'd be ecstatic. But I like your lists all around. If GS somehow pays for Barnes then I can certainly live with Batum or Derozan. Likewise Al Horford would be also be amazing.
     
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  8. Savory Griddles

    Savory Griddles Moderator Staff Member

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    Get the #3 pick and trade it, Brandon Bass and Swaggy in a sign and trade for Ryan Anderson. Sign Horford (or even D12) outright. Then come to Durant with

    Horford/Black
    Randle/Anderson/Nance Jr.
    ______/Nance Jr./A. Brown
    Clarkson/Williams
    Russell/Williams

    That's actually a title contender with the right coach. Solid starting five of experience and youth. An energetic bench that provides a completely different look than the starters.
     
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  9. Doc Brown

    Doc Brown - Lakers Starter -

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    I'd actually try to pull off the 3-3 with 3 triples in Demar, Batum, Horford

    DAR (5.1) / JC (2.8 QO)
    DD (18) / Lou (7)
    Batum (18) / Young (5.4) / Brown (1)
    Randle (3.1) / Nance (1.2)
    Horford (18) / Black (1.1 QO) / Upshaw (1)

    Total - 82 million

    - Spend the 8 on a backup big (Noah, Biyombo, Boban (Spurs), Mozgov)
    - If we keep the 1st rounder (Simmons at 5 mil), just get a bargain bin or roll with the above

    Durant/Whiteside ain't walking through that door, might as well load up on 2nd tier talent TRY to win and be ready to pull the trigger with the 3 huge bullets added into the asset machine when a superstar is either disgruntled (Cousins) or walking away and a team wants something for them (Westbrook).

    IMO we have a lot more options with DAR, JC, Randle, Nance, Simmons/Ingram (Potentially), Batum, Horford, Demar + Future picks when we are at the trade table than walking into the FA pool year after year talking about tradition.

    Big time players aren't walking through that door, to get talent you have to have talent, might as well load up.
     
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  10. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    Isn't JC's qualifying offer the same as Black's at 1.18 million?
     
  11. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    The Derozan marriage just makes too much sense right now. He'll be only 26 years old when we sign him to the max. He'll be coming home, he's be taking Kobe's roster spot and filling the need for a wing scoring option. No he's not a great shooter, but he'd make that team VERY dynamic defensively and on the break.

    We'll have 28.25 million or so in contracts/holds leaving 61.76 million to spend. Derozan's max will start at 24 million or so according to @trodgers .

    That'd leave us with roughly 38.31 million dollars and a roster of:

    Russell/_____
    Clarkson/Williams
    Derozan/Young/A. Brown
    Randle/Nance Jr.
    _____/Black

    With that left over cash I go after Hibbert, Noah, and Vasquez. I go 4/45 (starting at 10) for Hibbert. I go 4/45 for Vasquez (also starting at 10). Everything left I throw at Noah (about 8 million).

    Russell/Vasquez
    Clarkson/Williams
    Derozan/Young/A. Brown
    Randle/Nance Jr.
    Hibbert/Noah/Black

    Deep, effective, hard workers. I'd love watching that team.
     
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  12. LaVarBallsDad

    LaVarBallsDad - Lakers Legend -

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    We need talent. I'll take singles and doubles in free agency. We need to start somewhere.
     
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  13. Doc Brown

    Doc Brown - Lakers Starter -

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    From Eric Pincus...

     
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  14. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    I figured it was some sort of incentive based thing. Well there goes another little chunk of cash to spend. I really hope Jordan helps us out and lets us improve the roster before signing a QO. Same with Tarik, but I could see him signing one asap to get out of here after the way Byron has treated him.
     
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  15. EJones06

    EJones06 - Rookie -

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    I like this idea of going after Derozan AND Batum. Both are above average perimeter players, and are essentially interchangeable in playing the 2 or the 3 if needed. I'd also like to assume they'd be more likely to sign with a promising young squad in a great location than say a guy like KD, whose legacy is going to be defined by winning a championship much sooner rather than later.
     
  16. abeer3

    abeer3 - Lakers Legend -

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    i don't think of maxing out role players as hitting singles or doubles. they're worse than strikeouts because you can't trade them. it's like striking out looking, then getting tossed for arguing the call. or maybe hitting into a double play?

    i'm guessing the lakers throw max at barnes and whiteside (the latter is a gamble, btw). if they strike out on both, i'd expect a big (but non-max) offer to ezeli because gs can't afford to pay both big bucks. after that, i'm guessing they explore trades a la hibbert and lin.

    i'm on the "derozan's a bad fit" team, too. don't like wings that can't shoot the three, especially when your pf can't, either.
     
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  17. Savory Griddles

    Savory Griddles Moderator Staff Member

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    I don't think we go after both, not with JC already on the roster with Swaggy AND Lou. We have too many guys at the wing positions to overpay for two more wing players. By this time next season, I'm not convinced that DeRozen will even be better than Clarkson. By getting both, someone who should be starting will be moved to the bench, and the guys that are already on the bench (Lou and Swaggy) will be pushed even further back. Say we do Horford and Batum. The Derozen money could be used to grab a backup "true" pg and a backup center, both of which we desperately need. We can't have Bass or Sacre logging heavy minutes behind Horford.
     
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  18. Kenzo

    Kenzo - Lakers All Star -

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    The way things are now, no one is coming here. What will our pitch look like again? Palm trees, sunshine, ladies, hollywood...
    Let's start with a competent coach FFS and go from there.
    And for the love of God, start NOW!
     
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  19. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    I strongly doubt Horford goes anywhere and I have absolutely no doubt that he will not sign here. He's older, looking for a competitive team right now.
     
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  20. abeer3

    abeer3 - Lakers Legend -

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    while i could see horford leaving atlanta, i don't see it being for the lakers. he'll have several max offers on the table, some from much better teams.

    i also agree that attracting FAs will be easier if the lakers have a good coach in place.

    the other wildcard is the draft lottery. if the lakers don't lose their pick, then use it to trade for a star, they could suddenly be the #1 FA destination overnight. low chance of those things happening, but it's possible. anyway, it would change my entire calculus.

    barring that, and assuming durant's not coming (i think he's staying in okc on a one-year deal), i go hard after barnes first and foremost. great fit for this roster in so many ways. then i get a center either via FA (whiteside) or trade (there may be lots of options here, like a koufos type). after that, i look for bargains like lou and bass were this year.
     
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