Hypothetical: Guarantee #3 Pick Or Take Chances With Lottery?

Discussion in 'Lakers Discussion' started by Lakerman JSJ, Apr 6, 2017.

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Would you rather take the #3 pick today guaranteed or take your chances with the Lottery?

  1. PLAY IT SAFE! Take #3 pick right now.

    23 vote(s)
    76.7%
  2. ROLL THE DICE! GIMME FULTZ OR BALL! Take our chances with the lottery.

    7 vote(s)
    23.3%
  1. Lakerman JSJ

    Lakerman JSJ Moderator Staff Member

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    Couldn't find an appropriate existing thread to post this, plus I thought it'd be fun to add a poll to gauge how us Laker fans as a whole would feel in this hypothetical scenario...

    (Fellow mods, feel free to move or merge this thread if deemed necessary.)

    Obviously, we all know this pick & our 2019 1st round pick go bye-bye if we don't land in the top 3 in this year's draft. As it sits now, the Lakers have the draft lottery's 3rd best odds at the top pick. Unfortunately, that only provides a slightly less than coinflip's shot at landing in the top 3 of the draft & keeping our pick (at 46%).

    I personally really like the consensus #3 prospect Josh Jackson, and feel he'd certainly be an excellent fit on our roster with his overall skill, good defense, and elite athleticism. However, the consensus at this point seems to be that Fultz & Ball are the clear #1 & 2 in this year's draft, and I won't argue with that. Plus, if we land one of those guys, we either have our starting backcourt set for the next 10+ years, or it makes a great asset in Russell more expendable if we can land a star for him (& others) right now.

    Laker fans, what say you?
     
  2. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    Take the three no matter what.
     
    jbiggs, Kenzo, ElginTheGreat and 7 others like this.
  3. Battle Tested20

    Battle Tested20 - Lakers All Star -

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    This is so easy for him because of the simple fact that if we keep our pick this year we also keep our first in 2018 or 2019 (Forgot what year it is). So give me the guaranteed #3 pick right now.
     
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  4. abeer3

    abeer3 - Lakers All Star -

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    yeah, i think this hypothetical is only a tough choice if you truly believe it's a two player draft. i don't, so i take the guaranteed pick.
     
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  5. OX1947

    OX1947 - Lakers 6th Man -

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    Draft is about as weak as I have seen. If the Lakers had to lose this pick, this was the year to do it. The only use for this pick is to trade it with a package for a star.
     
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  6. alam1108

    alam1108 - Lakers All Star -

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    Go big or go home!

    But logically you take the guaranteed #3 for sure.
     
    Lakerman JSJ likes this.
  7. John3:16

    John3:16 Moderator Staff Member

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    Which button do you hit?

    Button A: Guaranteed $1 million

    Button B: 10% chance at $25 million

    I know the odds are different with the NBA lottery, but I'm taking the guarantee. Every time. Deep draft too. #3 probably won't get us Fultz or Ball, but I'm not sad at the other options available.
     
  8. Lakerman JSJ

    Lakerman JSJ Moderator Staff Member

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    So many pragmatic Laker fans around here. :D
     
    Battle Tested20, TIME and trodgers like this.
  9. sirronstuff

    sirronstuff LB Facebook Editor

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    The lottery owes us.

    There are no guarantees in life.

    I love it when a plan comes together.

    [​IMG]
     
  10. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    Gimme the #3 pick. Josh Jackson, Jayson Tatum, De'Aron Fox? Oh yes please.
     
  11. LTLakerFan

    LTLakerFan - Lakers MVP -

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    [​IMG] I'm not following. Why is the hypothetical being asked? Do we have some way to make guaranteed 3rd pick happen? Trade a youngin? Or the question is just for fun? Still trying to wrap head around ROFY changing his name again. Messed me up for the rest of the day. :DNO2:
     
    Last edited: Apr 6, 2017
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  12. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    No. That's why it's a hypothetical. Boom.
     
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  13. Khmrp

    Khmrp - Lakers Starter -

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    Take 3 and thank the heavens
     
  14. Khmrp

    Khmrp - Lakers Starter -

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    No its not...you do know if we lose this yrs pick we also end up owing Orl an unprotected 1st in 2019 as well instead of 2 2nd rd picks. So regardless of how weak this draft is (you seem to be the only one who think that way, most are saying this is one of the deepest)...keeping the pick means more for the future than just this yr
     
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  15. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    I disagree intensely with this take.

    There are some good draft options in 2018 if we do lose the pick though.
     
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  16. trodgers

    trodgers Administrator Staff Member

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    In our situation, I trade the pick. Far more good can come of that than of keeping it.
     
  17. abeer3

    abeer3 - Lakers All Star -

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    i don't know if the draft is the weakest i've seen, but i will say that i don't understand the hype. i don't see a superstar, and i think a lot of the projected high picks (including the beloved lonzo) have serious bust potential.
     
  18. OX1947

    OX1947 - Lakers 6th Man -

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    I have watched a lot of basketball in my time. I have watched Fultz and Ball play. They are not game changers to a team. The kind of game changers that go deep in the NBA playoffs. Even if they end up playing really really well, it won't matter. Lakers need a transcendent player or 2 to have a chance at running the title run again. They maybe get it with Russell and Ingram but they can't keep drafting players in the top 3 and turn into the Sixers waiting for them to become stars in 3 or 4 years. They need to start winning now and bring in the right guys to develop these two.

    I told you guys the second we signed Mosgov it was a disaster. Many may have believed it but you were trying to be optimistic and didn't say he would be terrible, which I get. With exception of maybe 2 or 3 people, myself included in that number, most hoped. I don't live in hope. I live in what's what. And I am telling you, Lonzo Ball is not a franchise player and neither is a guy who couldnt even take his team to the tourney as the quote and quote "1st overall potential player".
     
  19. therealdeal

    therealdeal Moderator Staff Member

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    I still do not think Mozgov was a disaster. I'm very firm in that opinion. Deng was the player I was utterly wrong about. He may be the worst contract the Lakers have handed out ever.

    I'm not sure if Ball is Kobe or Magic but he is very good. He may be the smartest player I've seen in a long time. I can't think of the last college kid who had his combination of smarts and talent. We'd be lucky to have him.
     
  20. John3:16

    John3:16 Moderator Staff Member

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    Agree 100%. Moz still has use. Deng, not so much. He aged from 28 to 50 really fast.

    And I'd bet Ball doesn't come close to Kobe or Magic, but who is? Ball still has great composure for a 19 year old. He's special. We'd be really lucky to get him.
     
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